UK economy grows 0.1% in the first quarter

The UK financial system eked out progress within the first quarter of the 12 months, accelerating at a modest tempo to make sure that the financial system will not be at rapid danger of recession.

Quarterly progress between January and March rose by 0.1 per cent in contrast with the identical interval final 12 months, in keeping with economists’ forecasts and matching weak progress figures recorded on the finish of 2022.

The UK’s progress outlook has brightened in latest months after a pointy decline in world vitality costs decreased the possibilities of a recession hitting this 12 months. A recession is outlined as two consecutive quarters of falling progress.

The Workplace for Nationwide Statistics (ONS) mentioned that progress in March had declined by 0.3 per cent, following no progress in February and a 0.5 per cent growth in January. Greater quarterly output was the results of a 0.5 per cent progress within the manufacturing sector, a 0.1 per cent rise in companies and a 0.7 per cent acceleration within the building business.

The UK’s total financial efficiency was hit by nationwide industrial motion by civil servants demanding higher pay. Output in training, well being and public administration all declined within the first three months of the 12 months because of strikes.

March’s outright fall in progress might be attributable to the strikes, the ONS mentioned, highlighting its enterprise surveys, which have discovered that one in ten companies throughout the nation had been affected by industrial motion.

The figures come a day after the Financial institution of England revised up its progress outlook by the very best margin on report, wiping out its earlier predictions that the financial system would succumb this 12 months to the longest recession in half a century.

The Financial institution’s improve was the results of a 40 per cent decline in world gasoline costs this 12 months, coupled with authorities assist for family vitality payments and a better-than-expected world financial system serving to companies. The Financial institution now expects annual progress to increase by 0.25 per cent this 12 months, in contrast with an earlier forecast of a 0.5 per cent contraction.

Economists anticipate that progress within the second quarter will stay anaemic as a result of the continuation of strike motion and a further financial institution vacation to mark the King’s coronation will weigh on output.

Jeremy Hunt, the chancellor, mentioned: “It’s excellent news that the financial system is rising however to succeed in the federal government’s progress precedence we have to keep targeted on aggressive taxes, labour provide and productiveness.

“The Financial institution of England governor confirmed yesterday that the Price range has made an essential begin however we are going to maintain going till the job is finished and we have now the excessive wage, excessive progress financial system we want.”

Samual Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, mentioned the UK stays the one G7 nation wherein the primary quarterly measure of GDP has not recovered to its pre-Covid peak but. “This mainly displays weak point in households’ actual spending, which was 2.3 per cent under its This autumn 2019 stage. However a minimum of the magnitude of the underperformance will not be growing relative to different international locations in Europe, which have confronted a equally huge vitality value shock,” he mentioned.

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